Liveblog Archief maandag 22 januari 2024

TOP NEWS
• PREVIEW-Tesla price cuts, delivery plan and CEO pay in focus ahead of results
Tesla's profitability and deliveries will be on top of investors' minds when the world's most valuable automaker reports results on Wednesday, days after sharp price cuts and announcement of a production pause at the Berlin factory.

• US authorities say more Boeing 737 planes should get checks after MAX 9 incident
The U.S. Federal Aviation Administration late Sunday recommended airlines operating Boeing 737-900ER jets inspect door plugs to ensure they are properly secured after some operators reported unspecified issues with bolts upon inspections.

• Macy's rejects Arkhouse's $5.8 billion bid, citing financing concerns
Macy's said on Sunday it had rejected Arkhouse Management and partner Brigade Capital Management's $5.8 billion proposal to take the department store operator private, citing concerns over deal financing and valuation.

• Exxon files lawsuit against investors' climate proposal
Exxon Mobil on Sunday filed a complaint in a Texas court seeking to prevent a climate proposal by activist investors from going to a vote during the company's shareholder meeting in May.

• Instagram, Facebook users to get more choices to comply with DMA - Meta
Instagram and Facebook users in Europe will be offered more choices on how they use Meta Platforms' services to comply with the European Union's Digital Markets Act (DMA), the social media company said.

BEFORE THE BELL
U.S. stock index futures advanced indicating further momentum in the S&P 500 after chip and megacap stocks drove the benchmark index to a record high last week, while corporate earnings and clues on rate cuts continued to top investors' radar. European stocks rose, while Japan'sNikkei rallied to a fresh 34-year peak as the U.S. S&P 500's record-high close on Friday buoyed investor sentiment. China and Hong Kong shares slumped as relentless foreign outflows and a surge in short selling pummelled confidence already hurt by the region's creaking economy. The dollar was little changed, while gold declined as hopes of a March interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve faded. Meanwhile, oil prices increased following offset geopolitical concerns in the Middle East.

STOCKS TO WATCH

Moves
• Archer-Daniels-Midland Co: The global grain merchant on Sunday said that Ismael Roig has been appointed as interim chief financial officer following a board decision to place current CFO Vikram Luthar on administrative leave, effective immediately. ADM said that Luthar was stepping aside pending an investigation regarding certain accounting practices and procedures related to ADM’s Nutrition reporting segment and that this would result in a delay in its fourth-quarter earnings release. The investigation is in response to a U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) request, ADM said in the statement, adding that it now expects an adjusted earnings per share of $6.90 for the fiscal year ended December 2023. “The Board takes these matters very seriously,” said Terry Crews, the board's lead director.

• Goldman Sachs Group Inc: The bank’s board named David Viniar as its next independent lead director, succeeding Adebayo Ogunlesi when he steps down at the bank's annual meeting in April, according to a filing on Friday. Viniar joined the board in 2013 after serving as Goldman's finance chief for more than a decade. He will also become chair of the board's governance committee. Tom Montag will become leader of the board's risk committee, according to the filing. He joined the group last year after retiring as chief operating officer at Bank of America in 2021. Earlier in his career, Montag spent 22 years at Goldman, rising to co-head of its securities business.

In Other News
• Alphabet Inc: Waymo, said on Friday it had applied to the California Public Utilities Commission to expand its driverless service in Los Angeles. A license would allow Waymo, which operates extensively in San Francisco, to fully operate its fleet in Los Angeles, California's largest city, where it is now testing rides, allowing new rides only by invitation. The company posted on social media platform X that it would work with Los Angeles policymakers, first responders and community organizations to launch its ride-hailing service. It did not provide details on when its service will go live. Waymo said this month it would begin testing its fully autonomous passenger cars without a human driver on freeways in Phoenix, Arizona, where it now offers rides in the metropolitan area. The company also aims to operate in Austin, Texas.

• Amer Sports Corp: The maker of Wilson tennis rackets and Salomon ski boots, said it was targeting a valuation of up to $8.7 billion in its U.S. initial public offering. The company said it plans to raise up to $1.8 billion by selling 100 million shares priced between $16 and $18 each. Goldman Sachs, BofA Securities, JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley, Citigroup and UBS Investment Bank are the lead underwriters for the offering.

• AstraZeneca Plc & BioNTech SE: BioNTech and its partner Duality Biologics said they initiated a late-stage trial testing their precision drug against a certain type of breast cancer, taking on a rival partnership between AstraZeneca and Daiichi Sankyo. COVID-19 vaccine maker BioNTech, which is renewing its focus on its traditional roots in oncology, said in a joint statement with China's Duality that their drug would be tested on women with a certain type of advanced breast cancer with low levels of a cell surface receptor known as HER2. HER2 is a common mechanism of tumor growth that has been targeted by established drugs such as Roche's Herceptin. Partners Astra and Daiichi have taken the concept further with their leading drug Enhertu, based on the antibody-drug conjugate technology, a type of high-precision chemotherapy. BioNTech and Duality said the new Phase III trial would test their drug - also an antibody-drug conjugate - on patients whose tumours grow in response to the hormones oestrogen or progesterone and which have low levels of HER2.

• B. Riley Financial Inc & Nomura Holdings Inc: U.S. authorities are investigating B. Riley’s deals with a client who was linked to a securities fraud, and the use of his assets to help the investment bank obtain a loan from Nomura, Bloomberg News reported. B. Riley said in a statement that it was unaware of any SEC investigation regarding any of the matters and that it would cooperate if such a situation occurred. Shares of the company dropped in premarket trading. The SEC has carried out interviews in recent months about B. Riley and its relationship with Brian Kahn, Bloomberg reported on Sunday, citing people familiar with the matter. B. Riley reiterated that it "had no involvement with, or knowledge of" matters relating to the Prophecy investigation. It first learned about the investigation in November last year.

• BHP Group Ltd: The miner will temporarily shut part of its Kambalda nickel concentrator in Western Australia in June, the top global miner said on Monday, after Wyloo Metals, which supplies ore to the plant, announced a pause in mining due to low nickel prices. "The decision by Wyloo to suspend its operations means it will no longer be viable to continue operating parts of the Kambalda concentrator from mid-year," BHP's Nickel West President Jessica Farrell said in a statement to Reuters. Around 20 roles will be affected. Australia's top nickel producer said it would put the crushing, milling and flotation circuit at its Kambalda plant on care and maintenance but would continue to run part of the plant as a drying circuit to process third-party concentrate. The announcement came after Wyloo, a private investment vehicle owned by iron ore billionaire Andrew Forrest, said it would put its Kambalda nickel operations on care and maintenance at the end of May as a result of weak nickel prices.

• Boeing Co: The U.S. Federal Aviation Administration late Sunday recommended airlines operating the platemakers’ 737-900ER jets inspect door plugs to ensure they are properly secured after some operators reported unspecified issues with bolts upon inspections. The FAA issued a "Safety Alert for Operators" disclosing some airlines have conducted additional inspections on the 737-900ER mid-exit door plugs "and have noted findings with bolts during the maintenance inspections." It recommended air carriers perform key portions of a fuselage plug assembly maintenance procedure related to the four bolts used to secure the door plug to the airframe "as soon as possible." A Boeing spokesperson said in an email that "we fully support the FAA and our customers in this action." Boeing first delivered the 737-900ER in 2007 and last one in 2019.

• Choice Hotels International Inc & Wyndham Hotels & Resorts Inc: Choice Hotels pressed ahead with its $8 billion hostile bid for Wyndham Hotels by nominating a slate of directors to replace Wyndham's eight-member board. It is Choice's latest attempt to break a stalemate after trying for most of the last year to negotiate a deal with Wyndham, which has rebuffed the bid as low-premium and fraught with antitrust risk. Wyndham has also raised concerns about the combined company carrying too much debt and a slowdown in Choice's business. Choice said its slate of nominees includes hospitality industry veteran Jay Shah, who currently serves on the board of private equity-backed HHM Hotels; Susan Schnabel, founder of aPriori Capital Partners which advises private equity on leveraged buyouts; James Nelson, CEO of real estate investment trust Global Net; and Fiona Dias, who served on Choice's board from 2004 to 2012.

• Citigroup Inc: Over a recent lunch with Warren Buffett, the bank’s CEO Jane Fraser outlined her latest round of reorganization efforts to simplify the bank. He told her to keep going. Fraser recounted the meal with the billionaire investor on a conference call with managing directors on Thursday, according to a source who was on the call. The anecdote concluded Fraser's address to Citigroup bosses. During the call, she indicated that more information about the next round of the reorganization would be shared as soon as next week, said the source, who declined to be identified discussing internal communications. Buffett confirmed the lunch took place, but declined to give more details about the conversation, according to a Berkshire Hathaway representative.

• Exxon Mobil Corp: The oil company on Sunday filed a complaint in a Texas court seeking to prevent a climate proposal by activist investors from going to a vote during the company's shareholder meeting in May. This is the first time Exxon is seeking to exclude a shareholder proposal by filing a complaint in court. The case was assigned to a judge with a track record of ruling in favor of conservative causes. Exxon says the investors are "driven by an extreme agenda" and that their repeated proposals do not serve investors’ interests or promote long-term shareholder value. Investors led by U.S. activist investment firm Arjuna Capital and shareholder activist group Follow This are asking Exxon and other oil majors to adopt tighter climate targets. They want Exxon to set so-called Scope 3 targets to reduce emissions produced by users of its products. Exxon is the only one among the five Western oil majors that does not have such targets.

• Gildan Activewear Inc: The Canadian apparel maker on Sunday said it has learned that the activist fund Browning West, LP's purchase of Gildan shares last month violated the U.S. anti-trust laws. Gildan has alleged that the move was an "illegal" attempt by the U.S.-based fund to reappoint former Chief Executive Glenn Chamandy and eventually take control of Gildan's board. It added that Browning violated the U.S. anti-trust law by not notifying the U.S. Federal Trade Commission and U.S. Department of Justice about acquisition of voting securities and failed to comply with mandatory 30-day waiting period. "Browning West's share acquisitions barely put it over this threshold," Gildan said in a statement. Browning West, in a separate statement, termed Gildan's accusations as an attempt to deprive shareholders of an opportunity to reconstitute the board at a validly requisitioned special meeting.

• HSBC Holdings Plc: China's Vice President Han Zheng met with the banking group’s Chairman Mark Tucker in Beijing and urged the banking giant to deepen cooperation with China to improve Hong Kong's status as a financial centre, the official Xinhua news agency reported. "We hope HSBC can use its own advantage and deepen mutually beneficial cooperation with China and make contributions in solidifying and improving Hong Kong's status as an international financial centre," Han said. Tucker said HSBC is "strongly confident in its investment in China" and will actively support Hong Kong to be an international financial hub, and Britain-China cooperations, according to Xinhua. Tucker said HSBC will actively participate in China's high quality growth, according to the report.

• JetBlue Airways Corp & Spirit Airlines Inc: The companies said on Friday they will appeal a federal judge's ruling that blocked the air carriers' planned tie-up on the grounds that the proposed merger would violate U.S. antitrust law. The appeal came after U.S. District Judge William Young in Boston on Tuesday sided with the U.S. Department of Justice in holding that JetBlue's planned $3.8 billion acquisition of ultra-low-cost carrier Spirit was anti-competitive and would harm consumers. The airlines filed a notice late on Friday that they will appeal his ruling to the 1st U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals. In a statement, the companies said the appeal notice filing was "consistent with the requirements of the merger agreement." The appeal continues the court fight to keep the merger alive, a deal Spirit needs as it faces financial difficulties, including the grounding of numerous jets due to a powdered-metal issue in its geared turbofan (GTF) engine. Spirit shares rose after the notice of appeal in after-hours trading on Friday but are still down more than 50% since Tuesday's ruling. JetBlue shares were down late on Friday.

• Macy’s Inc: The retail chain said on Sunday it had rejected Arkhouse Management and partner Brigade Capital Management's $5.8 billion proposal to take the department store operator private, citing concerns over deal financing and valuation. The two investment firms submitted a proposal last month to acquire the shares of Macy's they don't already own for $21 a share. The duo sees "the potential for a meaningful increase to the original proposal if we are granted access to the necessary due diligence," Arkhouse said in a statement. But Macy's said the offer was not financially attractive or credible enough to grant such access. "The board has determined not to enter into a non-disclosure agreement or provide any due diligence information to Arkhouse and Brigade," Macy's said in a statement. Macy's also said that information furnished by Arkhouse and Brigade "failed to address its board's concerns regarding Arkhouse and Brigade's ability to finance their proposed transaction."

• Meta Platforms Inc: Instagram and Facebook users in Europe will be offered more choices on how they use the company’s services to comply with the European Union's Digital Markets Act (DMA), the social media company said. The world's largest social network is the latest to make changes to comply with the DMA after Google outlined efforts to comply with the new EU technology rules that could hurt revenues for some companies. Over the next few weeks, users will receive notifications informing them that they can choose whether they would like to share their information between its services, Meta said in a blog post. Under the DMA, which Meta will have to comply with by March 7, companies are obligated to treat their own services and products the way they treat those of rivals.

• Microsoft Corp: The tech giant said on Friday that a Russian state-sponsored group hacked into its corporate systems on Jan. 12 and stole some emails and documents from staff accounts. The Russian group was able to access "a very small percentage" of Microsoft corporate email accounts, including members of its senior leadership team and employees in its cybersecurity, legal, and other functions, the company said. Microsoft's threat research team routinely investigates nation-state hackers such as Russia's "Midnight Blizzard," who they say is responsible. The company said its probe into the breach indicated the hackers were initially targeting Microsoft to learn what the technology giant knew about their operations. The company said the hackers used a "password spray attack" starting in Nov. 2023 to breach a Microsoft platform. Hackers use this technique to infiltrate a company's systems by using the same compromised password against multiple related accounts.

• Morgan Stanley: The bank’s Executive Chairman James Gorman's compensation in his last year as CEO rose 17% to $37 million for 2023 from $31.5 million in 2022, the bank said in a filing on Friday. Gorman became executive chairman on Jan. 1, handing over to new CEO Ted Pick. Three-quarters of Gorman's performance bonus is paid in equity and deferred over three years. The bank's board noted his "outstanding performance, including his exemplary execution of CEO succession and the transition of leadership" and his resolution of legal and regulatory matters in its decision to boost Gorman's pay. Gorman spent 14 years at the helm and is credited with transforming the bank into a wealth management powerhouse. He also orchestrated a succession plan in which Pick took the reins at the same time as retaining the two other CEO candidates, executives Andy Saperstein and Dan Simkowitz, a rarity on Wall Street.

• Novo Nordisk A/S: The European Union's drug regulator will this week consider wider use of the drugmaker’s weight-loss drug Wegovy to include reducing the risk of strokes and heart attacks. Approval could help the Danish drugmaker better argue its case for making the drug available via public sector health systems in Europe. The possible new use of Wegovy, based on a drug trial known as SELECT, will be assessed during the monthly meeting of the watchdog's committee for medicinal products for human use (CHMP), according to the meeting's agenda posted on the watchdog's website. Ballooning demand for Wegovy, and for diabetes drug Ozempic which is based on the same active ingredient, has led to a doubling of Novo's share price over the past two years but it has also overwhelmed the company's ability to ramp up production of the weekly injections.

• Occidental Petroleum Corp: The U.S. Federal Trade Commission (FTC) has requested the company and Crownrock for additional information and documentary materials related to their pending merger, the companies said. Occidental's $12 billion deal for Crownrock underscores a new wave of shale consolidation, after Exxon Mobil's $60 billion proposed deal for Pioneer Natural Resources and Chevron's $53 billion agreement for Hess last year. The Exxon and Chevron deals have also received requests from the FTC for additional information. Occidental and Crownrock said they received the FTC request on Jan. 19, and would continue to work constructively with the regulator.

• SolarEdge Technologies Inc: The company said on Sunday that it would lay off about 16% of its global workforce as it tries to reduce operating costs. The reduction, which would affect roughly 900 employees, follows the firm's discontinuation of manufacturing in Mexico, reduction of manufacturing capacity in China, and termination of light commercial vehicle e-mobility activity. “We have made a very difficult, but necessary decision to implement a workforce reduction and other cost-cutting measures in order to align our cost structure with the rapidly changing market dynamics," CEO Zvi Lando said in a statement.

• Sony Group Corp: The Japanese company scrapped plans for a $10 billion merger of its Indian unit with Zee, which said it had been accused of breaching their agreement and that the case was set to go to arbitration. The collapse of the deal intended to create a media powerhouse in content-hungry India creates more uncertainty for TV broadcaster Zee in particular at a time when competition is heating up. Sony said in a statement certain "closing conditions" to the merger were not satisfied despite "good faith discussions" with Zee, and the companies were unable to agree upon an extension by their Jan. 21 deadline. "After more than two years of negotiations, we are extremely disappointed ... We remain committed to growing our presence in this vibrant and fast-growing market," it added. Zee told Indian stock exchanges Sony was seeking $90 million in termination fees for alleged breaches of the merger agreement and emergency interim relief by "invoking arbitration". Zee said it refutes all claims made by Sony and would take appropriate legal action.

• Telefonica SA: The Spanish company said its stake in German unit Telefonica Deutschland had reached 93.1% during a tender offer it launched for shares in the company. The Spanish company said in November it would offer to buy the 28.19% in Telefonica Deutschland it did not own for $2.56 per share. During the public tender offer, Telefonica bought about 630 million shares from minority holders, the equivalent of about a 21% stake, for about 1.48 billion euros. The offer is expected to be settled on Friday. Telefonica Deutschland has a market value of around 7 billion euros. The deal is part of the Spanish telecom company's three-year strategic plan to focus on its four biggest markets: Spain, Brazil, Britain and Germany.

• Tesla Inc: The carmaker’s profitability and deliveries will be on top of investors' minds when the world's most valuable automaker reports results on Wednesday, days after sharp price cuts and announcement of a production pause at the Berlin factory. Falling prices of battery materials are expected to let Tesla show a slight rise in profit margin from the previous quarter. But it will be down sharply from a year ago, and pressure is rising after price cuts in Asia and Europe and rising costs from ramping up Cybertruck production. Chief Executive Elon Musk has signaled he wanted more control, raising questions among governance experts and retail investors. Tesla slashed prices of its most popular vehicle, the Model Y, in Europe and China this month, stepping up a price war it ignited more than a year ago. It has cut price of the Model Y, its most popular vehicle, by as much as 26.5% in the past year in the United States. The price cuts came days after Tesla said it will suspend most production at its German factory from Jan. 29 to Feb. 11 due to a lack of components as shipping routes had to be adjusted because of attacks on vessels in the Red Sea.

• Zillow Group Inc: The company has defeated a bid by discount home brokerage REX - Real Estate Exchange for a new trial in a Seattle federal lawsuit accusing the online home-listing giant of deceptive business practices. U.S. District Judge Thomas Zilly in an order on Thursday said REX had not met its burden to upend a jury’s Sept. 29 verdict following an eight-day trial. Attorneys for REX at Boies Schiller Flexner accused Zillow of suppressing the brokerage’s home listings by placing them under a secondary “other” tab on the website. REX claimed hundreds of millions of dollars in damages in the lead-up to the trial on allegations of consumer deception and false advertising. REX has billed itself as a "disruptor" that sought to offer consumers a chance to sell their homes while paying lower commissions. The company asked for a retrial only on its allegation of unfair practices under Washington state’s consumer protection law.

INSIGHT
Fed's inflation puzzle still missing a piece or two
U.S. Federal Reserve officials suspected the fight to lower inflation would be difficult and have been reluctant to declare success even as price increases have slowed.

ANALYSTS' RECOMMENDATION
• Comerica Inc: KBW cuts target price to $58 from $60, predicting a challenging revenue environment in 2024.

• Home Depot Inc: Oppenheimer cuts target price to $345 from $360, stating consumer demand trends within home improvement retail remain challenged.

• Lowe's Companies Inc: Oppenheimer cuts target price to $230 from $275, saying the short-term market positioning towards the sector is turning too complacent.

• Sarepta Therapeutics Inc: JPMorgan raises target price to $177 from $112, reflecting a high degree of confidence in label expansion for the company's Elevidys drug.

• Union Pacific Corp: Bernstein raises target price to $280 from $229, saying the company is better positioned for the early stages of the next freight cycle.

ECONOMIC EVENTS (All timings in U.S. Eastern Time)
1000 Leading index change mm for Dec: Expected -0.3%; Prior -0.5%

COMPANIES REPORTING RESULTS
Brown & Brown Inc: Expected Q4 earnings of 0.53 cents per share
United Airlines Holdings Inc: Expected Q4 earnings of $1.70 per share
Zions Bancorporation NA: Expected Q4 earnings of 0.99 cents per share

CORPORATE EVENTS (All timings in U.S. Eastern Time)
1730 Zions Bancorporation NA: Q4 earnings conference call

Beste beleggers, beursvolgers ...

De indices op Wall Street liggen er zeer sterk bij met nieuwe records bij de SOX index, de Nasdaq 100, de Dow Jones en de S&P 500. De Nasdaq Composite staat nog wel een eindje onder het record maar de rest breekt dus uit. Vooral de chip sector trekt de kar samen met de TOP 7 bedrijven die vrijwel allemaal nieuwe records neerzetten behalve Tesla. Europa kan moeilijk volgen, we zien we een positieve week maar tot de topzone geraken de AEX, de DAX en de CAC 40 niet. De rente staat vanmorgen rond de 4,13% en blijft ten opzichte van eind vorig jaar aan de hoge kant. De Brent olie zien we rond de 78,3 dollar vanmorgen. De euro komt uit rond de 1,09 dollar, het goud blijft wat hangen net boven de 2000 dollar. We zoeken naar een instap met posities vanaf nu, de markt laten we even uitrazen en kijken naar het beste moment om wat short posities op te nemen ver boven de oude toppen ... De leden krijgen een signaal zodra ik wil instappen.

Voor wie graag een tijdje één van onze signaaldiensten wil volgen kan nu gebruik maken van onze proefaanbieding. U kunt dan een abonnement proberen tot 1 APRIL 2024. Systeem Trading voor €35, Guy Trading voor €40, Polleke Trading voor €45 en COMBI-Trading voor €75. Kijk vooral even een tijdje met ons mee en beslis daarna of het bij u past ... Schrijf u in via de link https://www.usmarkets.nl/trade...

Marktupdate 22 januari:
Wall Street sluit vrijdag fors hoger met vooral opnieuw een stevige plus bij de technologie sectoren. De Nasdaq won 255 punten (1,7%) vrijdag en loopt verder op richting het record dat rond de 16.212 punten wacht, de Nasdaq 100 zet wel al nieuwe records neer omdat de TOP 7 bij deze index veel zwaarder meewegen. De index sluit de sessie af op 17.314 punten, het hoogste slot ooit. Ook de SOX index zet een nieuw record neer op 4375,7 punten, de index won vrijdag 4%. Verder ook een nieuw record bij de S&P 500 en dat komt nu uit op 4839,81 punten, de Dow Jones sluit ook met een nieuw record op 37.863 punten. De Dow Transport deed het wat kalmer aan met een winst van 102 punten (0,65%). Vrijdag dus een zeer sterke sessie met een doorbraak boven de oude toppen.

Wall Street zit momenteel in een zeer euforische fase, het zal wel ergens stoppen maar we kunnen op dit moment alleen strategisch proberen te anticiperen op een draai van de indices. Het zijn vooral de op AI gerichte aandelen en sectoren die de markt omhoog trekken, ook Apple deed de afgelopen dagen mee met de stijging na het enkele weken moeilijk te hebben gehad. Wel zien we nieuwe zeer hoge records bij onder andere Alphabet, Microsoft en Nvidia dat onderweg is om de TOP 3 van waarde van bedrijven te breiken. Opvallend is dat ook Broadcom de TOP 10 binnendringt wat betreft beurswaarde.

Aan de ene kant zitten we met een bubbel in ontwikkeling bij de AI gerelateerde vooruitzichten en aan de andere kant met de mindere ontwikkelingen rondom de rente en dus de economische vooruitzichten als gevolg daarvan. Dat maakt het er allemaal niet makkelijker op. Toch weten we er ons goed door te manoeuvreren deze maand, aan de ene kant surfen we mee met de positieve golf en aan de andere kant nemen onze tijd om waar het kan te anticiperen op een correctie die ik snel verwacht ...

Europa:
In Europa zien we vrijdag een verdeelde sessie, de AEX index sluit uiteindelijk 0,72 punten (0,09%) hoger terwijl de DAX met 12 punten (-0,07%) verlies de sessie afsloot. De CAC 40 sluit 30 punten (0,4%) lager, de BEL 20 sluit met 0,17% winst.

Economie en cijfers:
Tot woensdag weinig belangrijke cijfers uit de VS zoals we kunnen zien via de agenda. Wel komt donderdag de ECB samen om over de rente te beslissen, vrijdag krijgen we belangrijke inflatiecijfers uit de VS.

Kwartaalcijfers deze week:
We krijgen opnieuw een reeks met kwartaalcijfers, meerdere Dow Jones bedrijven komen deze week met hun cijfers. Denk aan 3M, IBM, Intel en Verizon. Ook ASML, Netflix, Tesla en Texas Instruments presenteren hun cijfers.

Signaaldiensten 2024:
We hebben een mooie winst kunnen nemen op enkele posities die vorige week werden opgenomen, het waren LONG posities op enkele indexen en ook op 2 aandelen bij Systeem Trading en Guy Trading. Alle posities werden aangekocht toen de indices nog even behoorlijk wat moesten inleveren vorige week. De posities nam ik op omdat ik nog een aanval verwachtte richting de topzone wat ook gebeurde. Vrijdag werden de toppen doorbroken en zat er meer in maar de intentie was om mee te liften tot de weerstand ofwel tot de topzone.

Nu kunnen we voorzichtig uitkijken om wat kleine SHORT posities op te nemen boven de topzone. We blijven wel voorzichtig daarmee in deze fase want de markt zit in een soort flow die moeilijk te stoppen is. Wordt dus snel lid want dan krijgt u ook onze signalen tot 1 APRIL ...

Nieuwe opzet signaaldiensten:
Vanaf dit jaar werken we ook met een wat hoger bedrag wat er voor zorgt dat we meer en waar het kan wat grotere posities kunnen opnemen. Bij Systeem Trading kunnen we tot pakweg 5 tot 6 posities gelijktijdig opnemen, bij Guy Trading zo'n 8 a 10 posities gelijktijdig. Onafhankelijk van elkaar en sommige posities kunnen zo wat langer doorlopen terwijl we met andere posities meer ruimte krijgen om wat korter op de bal te spelen. Het wordt totaal anders en zo zijn we niet meer alleen afhankelijk van alleen maar de indices.

Volg ons in ieder geval tot 1 APRIL via de aanbieding vanaf €35, ga naar https://www.usmarkets.nl/trade... en schrijf u snel in zodat u niets hoeft te missen.

Rente 10 jaar VS:
De 10 jaar rente in de VS staat vanmorgen rond de 4,13% en blijft zo ruim boven de 4%. Vanaf de bodem rond de 3,78% staat de rente alweer zo'n 0,4% hoger. Weerstand nu eerst rond de 4,2%, steun nu rond de 4,1% en de 4%.

Olieprijs:
Vanmorgen komt de Brent olie uit rond de 78,3 dollar en blijft voorlopig boven de 77-78 dollar waar we nu steun kunnen verwachten. Verder steun rond de 74-75 dollar met daaronder de 72-73 dollar.

Weerstand nu eerst rond de 80 dollar met daarboven de bekende 82 dollar als mogelijk doel.

We handelen via zowel Systeem Trading, Guy Trading en COMBI-Trading op het verloop van de Brent olie, we hebben vorige week al winst kunnen nemen op een positie op de Brent olie.

Indicatie markt voorbeurs:
Vanmorgen zien we dat de futures zowel op Wall Street als in Europa hoger uitkomen. De rente in de VS komt nu uit rond de 4,13% wat ver boven de 4% blijft. De Brent olie staat vanmorgen rond de 78,3 dollar. De euro zien we vanmorgen rond de 1,09 dollar.

In Azië zien we vanmorgen opnieuw een verdeelde sessie, de Nikkei index sluit 1,72% hoger, de Hang Seng index blijft heel slecht presteren en staat vanmorgen rond de 3% lager. Ook in China blijven de koersen dalen en maken een totaal tegengestelde beweging vergeleken met Wall Street. De Hang Seng verloor de afgelopen maanden al fors.

Analyse AEX:
De AEX sluit vrijdag met 0,72 punten (0,09%) winst en komt nu uit op 778,89 punten. De AEX herpakt zich na de terugval van eerder vorige week opnieuw en sluit net onder de 780 punten.

De eerste belangrijke steun komt nu uit rond de 772-773 punten, verder letten we op de 765 punten als steun. Later zien we steun rond de 757 punten waar nu het 200-daags gemiddelde uitkomt.

Weerstand nu eerst rond de 780 punten met daarboven weerstand rond de 785-786 punten en rond de 790 punten.

We handelen via onze signaaldiensten vaak op de AEX index. Om de signalen te ontvangen kunt u lid worden. Schrijf u in via de link https://www.usmarkets.nl/tradershop en ontvang onze signalen en updates tot 1 APRIL ...

Grafiek AEX:

Analyse Nasdaq 100:
De Nasdaq 100 sluit vrijdag opnieuw fors hoger met 332 punten winst en komt nu uit op 17.314 punten. De Nasdaq 100 breekt duidelijk uit boven de topzone ofwel de hoogste stand ooit die eind vorig jaar werd bereikt en op 16.968 punten uitkwam. De Nasdaq 100 zet dus een nieuwe top neer op slotbasis met 17.314 punten, de index geraakte gedurende de sessie even tot 17.317,21 punten. Deze week maar goed uitkijken met deze index en waar het kan neem ik een positie op, waarschijnlijk short deze keer maar we moeten goed opletten in deze fase daarmee. Liefst zo hoog mogelijk zien in te stappen.

Steun nu eerst rond de 17.250 punten, later rond de 17.150 en de 16.968 punten waar de oude top uitkomt steun. Verder zien we steun rond de 16.750 punten. Weerstand krijgen we nu rond de 17.500 punten, later weerstand rond de 17.750 en de 17.900 punten.

De RSI staat nu rond de 72, de MACD staat boven de 0-lijn en draait naar positief.

Om mee te doen met onze signalen op de Nasdaq 100 index kunt u nu gebruik maken van onze aanbieding tot 1 APRIL. Schrijf u meteen in via onze Tradershop op de website, de link daarvoor is https://www.usmarkets.nl/trade...

Grafiek Nasdaq 100:

Analyse DAX:
De DAX ofwel Europa kan de zeer positieve flow van Wall Street niet volgen tot nu toe, de DAX verloor vrijdag 12 punten (-0,07%) en komt nu uit op 16.555 punten. Weerstand zien we nu eerst rond de 16.600 punten, later weerstand rond de 16.800 punten met daarna vooral de topzone rond de 17.000 punten.

Steun nu eerst rond de 16.340 punten waar het 50-daags gemiddelde uitkomt, later steun rond de 16.200 en de 16.000 punten.

De indicatoren verzwakken nu met de RSI die rond de 51 uitkomt, de MACD draait verder naar beneden toe en komt dichter bij de 0-lijn uit.

We handelen via onze signaaldiensten vaak op de DAX index. Om de signalen te ontvangen kunt u lid worden. Schrijf u in via de link https://www.usmarkets.nl/tradershop en ontvang onze signalen en updates tot 1 APRIL ...

Grafiek DAX:

Analyse Dow Jones:
De Dow Jones sluit afgelopen vrijdag 395 punten (1,05%) hoger en komt nu uit op 37.864 punten, de Dow Jones bereikt zo de topzone en sluit er zelfs boven.

Weerstand zien we nu eerst rond de 38.000 punten met later de 38.250 punten als weerstand. Later rond de 38.500 en de 38.750 punten de volgende weerstand. Let vooral op de lijn over de toppen vanaf nu, die komt elke dag wat hoger te liggen en zal de weerstand blijven voor wat betreft de Dow Jones.

Steun nu eerst rond de 37.750 met daaronder de 37.500 punten. Verder zien we steun rond de 37.250 en de 37.000 punten.

De RSI komt nu uit rond de 66 terwijl we de MACD nog altijd negatief draait.

We handelen via onze abonnementen vaak op de Dow Jones index. Om de signalen te ontvangen kunt u lid worden. Schrijf u in via de link https://www.usmarkets.nl/tradershop en ontvang onze signalen en updates tot 1 APRIL ...

Grafiek Dow Jones:

Handelen met Turbo's of Boosters op indexen en aandelen?
Voor wie een tijdje een signaaldienst wil volgen dan kunt u nu gebruik maken van de proefaanbieding. Een abonnement kunt u nu uit proberen tot 1 APRIL 2024, Systeem Trading voor €35, Guy Trading voor €40, Polleke Trading voor €45 en COMBI-Trading kan nu voor €75 !! Kijk vooral even een tijdje met ons mee en beslis daarna of het bij u past ...Schrijf u in via de link https://www.usmarkets.nl/tradershop en dan staat u snel op onze lijst met leden ...

We hebben de eerste posities van dit jaar al met winst kunnen sluiten zodat we het jaar in ieder geval positief starten. Zie hieronder de laatste transacties en het resultaat van de maand januari. In de loop van de week kunnen we mogelijk opnieuw instappen met wat posities op de indices, aandelen en de Brent olie. De leden krijgen op tijd bericht daarover ...

De laatste transacties bij Systeem Trading deze maand:

Resultaat deze maand (januari)

Met vriendelijke groet,
Guy Boscart